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Race Time Predictor


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#1 earlyriser

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Posted 12 May 2011 - 07:36 PM

Hi All,

I noticed a few days ago that someone had a link to German race time predictor in one of the threads.

Can't find it after much searching.

Can anyone remember where it is.

Thanks in advance

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#2 russell2pi

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Posted 12 May 2011 - 08:43 PM

Here ya go

#3 Gordo31

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Posted 13 May 2011 - 06:49 AM

You can also try this.

#4 dickyboy

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Posted 13 May 2011 - 01:10 PM

Just remember that most race predictors operate on a fairly simple formula basis and do not take into account the effect of hills, temperature and crowds. I'm sure after sunday's new course is run, some maths fans will compare tmies to the old course and then come up with their own estimates of timing predictions.

#5 Kato

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Posted 13 May 2011 - 08:09 PM

That German one makes a lot more sense than the McMillan one or the one on the Running Times website.  People with abundant fast twitch muscle fibres and few slow twitch ones can train their legs to do wonderful things, but they still fade at a different, greater rate than people graced with slow twitch muscle fibres.  A two point calculation takes a runner's rate of fade into account more than a single point calculation.

#6 russell2pi

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Posted 13 May 2011 - 08:23 PM

View PostKato, on 13 May 2011 - 08:09 PM, said:

A two point calculation takes a runner's rate of fade into account more than a single point calculation.

Yep but only if those two points are well-determined. Not much use for a newbie (like me) trying to get a rough idea what pace to run at when PBs are ever-changing and the two points weren't measured at the same time (or even necessarily run as fast as they could have been).

#7 earlyriser

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Posted 13 May 2011 - 08:30 PM

Thanks Guys

Just what I was looking for.