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10Km Time Variance


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#1 NKOTB

    veryCoolRunner

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Posted 27 September 2011 - 11:18 PM

Hi,
    Recently I ran a 10km race in 44:52 mins which was about 55 seconds slower than last year. I was wondering what is
the 'accepted' variance for on_race_day_factors. We can assume everything else is mostly the same. ie my lead up training (volume and quality), health and race conditions. I might be one year older but I doubt that is the reason. Can I put it the 2.5% slower time down to an average day in the office this year?
    

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#2 twosheds

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Posted 28 September 2011 - 07:33 AM

I  wouldnt worry too much about it. smaller fun runs are often not measured all that accurately which can make a big difference. Even 100m difference will nearly 30seconds difference in time. Hills, temperature, competition and how you feel on the day can make a big difference. Just do a few more and you will get a clearer picture of where you are.